近日,我院鄒寶玲副教授及其碩士研究生陳宇丹,以及美國亞利桑那州立大學Ashok K. Mishra教授、德國霍恩海姆大學Stefan Hirsch教授相助論文“Agricultural mechanization and the performance of the local Chinese economy”在期刊Food Policy在線發表。Food Policy是食品政策領域的頂級學術期刊,同時位于經濟學大類、農業經濟與政策領域、營養和膳食領域以及食品科學與技術領域Q1區(亦是中科院期刊分區一區),最新影響因子6.5。
全文引用:
Baoling Zou, Yudan Chen, Ashok K. Mishra, Stefan Hirsch. (2024). Agricultural mechanization and the performance of the local Chinese economy. Food Policy, 125, 102648. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102648
中文摘要:
本研究基于2010年至2020年數據分析了中國農業機械化對縣域經濟的影響。基于面板數據和工具變量法的研究結果讲明,農業機械化導致我國縣域地區生産總值下降。特別是,農業機械化改變了該部門的生産,降低了其産值。農業機械化減少了對勞動力的需求,使得中國年輕人傾向于在非農業部門尋找事情。這也導致當地農業勞動力供給和家庭消費下降,對當地工業和服務業的發展造成倒霉影響。農業機械化也導致經濟作物越來越多地被糧食作物取代,從而降低了農業總産量。最後,本文就農業生産和農村發展提出了一些政策建議。
英文摘要:
In this study, we analyze the impact of agricultural mechanization on the local Chinese economy from 2010 to 2020. Findings based on panel data and instrumental variable methods show that agricultural mechanization led to a significant decline in the local gross domestic product. In particular, agricultural mechanization changes the sector’s production and lowers its output value. Agricultural mechanization has reduced the need for labor to such an extent that young Chinese tend to seek jobs in the non-farming sector, leading to a fall in the local agricultural labor supply and household consumption, adversely affecting the development of local industries and service sectors. Mechanization has also led to cash crops being increasingly replaced by grain crops, reducing the total agricultural output. Finally, this paper presents some policy suggestions for agricultural production and rural development.
文章鏈接:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306919224000599?via%3Dihub